Brzezinski is an expert on bad foreign policy, having dabbled in it quite a lot, so when he says that a given strategy will commence a via dolorosa, I’m not always sure whether to embrace or discard his advise. He is clearly a brilliant geo-strategist and thinker, and on Afghanistan he’s probably right. Pouring troops into a country in which such strategies have not historically been helpful or conducive to anything other than raising body counts and lowering morale doesn’t sound right to me. The situation there doesn’t seem to be as riotous as during the Soviet occupation, and technology has improved. Still, it is wise to keep in mind that intensifying the American presence could turn the population against the US and make collaboration with the Taliban and its associates more attractive, if it is poorly managed. His cynicism is welcome.