Good news
Posted: 26 February, 2010 Filed under: Free Hanevy, Mauritania, Muslims, news, Recently in Mauritania 2 Comments »Hanevy Ould Dahah is … free.
On the death of Ali Tounsi
Posted: 25 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Algeria, Ali Tounsi, balance of power, Bouteflika, politics, Recently in Algeria, Tewfik, Third World, tribalism 10 Comments »
Ali Tounsi, head of the Algerian DGSN (national police), was shot dead in his office this morning by Oultache Chouaib, a commander of the helicopter unit (according to Ech-Chorouk). Chouaib, it is said, was in a “manic stupor” after a verbal spat with Tounsi. The killer is said to have been under investigation for corrupt business deals involving spare helicopter parts, according to El Khabar. Practically all reports, Arabic and French, of the murder are conflicting. One has the killer committing suicide (this is from the Interior Ministry). Another has Oultache killing Tounsi and exchanging fire with other police officers, being shot and hospitalized. Another has his him shot dead by the police on site. In any case, an ally of Gen. Mohamed Mediene (also known as General Toufiq/Tewfik) has been felled at a time when tensions between the military security establishment and the president are thought to be unusually high.
Read also: Khouya Houwari’s post on the murder at Algerian Review. He gives a good summary of inconsistencies in the media on the logistics of the killing. Read the rest of this entry »
Going forward
Posted: 22 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Algeria, AQIM, Geopolitics, Islamism, Maghreb, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, politics, Sahel, terrorism, Third World 9 Comments »
One of the themes on this blog has been that one cannot look at North Africa strictly through the lens of terrorism or counter terrorism and that a meaningful understanding of the area comes from a broad and deep comprehension of the areas political, social and economic context. The emphasis is on political and social, more than economic. Many intelligent people look at development economic and do work that is more valuable than anything written here about politics or religion or culture. But politics matters too, and not enough is written in English by not enough people about politics in Mauritania or Algeria. So this is a blog about politics, very fundamentally. Any discussion about terrorism/counterterrorism proceeds out of political discussion, as war proceeds from politics.
Amel Boubekeur possibly writes some of the most well informed and conscious analysis of politics in Algeria in the English language today. Always attune to the daily struggle and the calculus of Algerian politics, she summed up the fundamental problem of Algerian politics today for the BBC:
They [the elite] are closing all doors and spaces for peaceful contestation – that’s one of the very worrying consequences of this succession scenario … More and more, I can’t see any other forms of rupture that are not conducted through violence.
James Burnham had it that the first purpose any elite is to preserve (if not expand) its own privilege and power. Studying politics in North Africa supports that view. Looking at American policy in North Africa forces one to think: terrorism cannot come first and that there is a trend going in this direction. There is a need for low profile, low cost and high impact policies that build toward more functional political life in the region; the ultimate success of such efforts is in the hands of the local leadership class alone. But they and their people could use some help.
A Congressional Research Service report on Al-Qaeda affiliates from 5 February concludes its section on AQIM by noting that American policy in the Sahel must evolve to a point where it “strikes an appropriate balance between countering extremism and addressing basic challenges of governance, security, and human development, which some view as contributing to the rise of extremism.” This is the most important question in designing the American policy toward AQIM and other security issues in the Sahel and Maghreb, including drug and human trafficking. The terrorism issue does not stand on its and and cannot be “fixed” or combatted on its own. Perhaps the most intelligent blogger writing about the Sahel in English would seem to share this view.
People live in Mauritania and Algeria and Mali and Tunisia and Niger; and they lived there before there was any such thing as AQIM and they will live there long after AQIM is gone. And there were smugglers, traffickers, bandits and hungry children there before AQIM, too, as we all well know. American involvement there cannot be productive if it is conducted with AQIM or terrorism as its primary concern. It must: Read the rest of this entry »
The unfair, blind review
Posted: 21 February, 2010 Filed under: Arab Americans Leave a comment »This review of Najla Said’s “Palestine” is guilty of the same lack of range of which it accuses Edward Said’s daughter.
Peretz: at it again
Posted: 21 February, 2010 Filed under: American Muslims, bigotry, Western Muslims Leave a comment »So, more on Mr. Hussain. In announcing his appointment, Obama again chose recherché speech. Or, to be more precise, a word he did not know. Hussain is a hafiz of the Koran—he’s memorized it all—and, as such, “he is a respected member of the Muslim community.” I can’t believe that Obama knew what hafiz meant. It may just be another one of his affectations. And as for a hafiz, I’d bet that many schoolboys who attended madrassas, which are mostly centers of ignorance like many ultra-Orthodox yeshivot, also have memorized the holy text and that says nothing about the respect in which the community holds them and certainly says nothing at all about their wisdom.
“Assalamu Alaykum, Another Special Envoy And Obama’s Impoverished Grasp Of The Muslim World,” Marty Peretz, 17 February, 2010.
Here it is clear that Peretz has no idea of what a hafiz is or what his place is in Muslim communities and societies or has no idea of what madrasas are in Muslim communities and societies in the traditional sense or that he is being both disingenuous, disrespectful and contemptuous all at once.
As in practically all other instances where Peretz looks to pity President Obama’s lack of knowledge about Islam and Muslims he has ended up exposing his own lack of knowledge and bigotry toward Muslims (and Arabs, too).
Arab coups: numbers, graphs and observations
Posted: 17 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Arabs, balance of power, Levant, Maghreb, politics, Sahel, Third World, tribalism 11 Comments »
The data from the previous posts on Arab coup d’etats has been adjusted for more accurate counts of successful coups. The data used in the previous charts and graphs referenced in the original summary post is slightly different, but the over all conclusions remain the same, with some tweaks here and there. Below are observations about coups and time of the year, states where coups are most popular, coups over time, categorizing coups, coup-proofing and etc. This is rough, unedited, unscientific data on 13 Arab states and 41 coups therein.
UPDATE: Data set now includes Qatar. New graphs are also added with new variables.
New coup graph
Posted: 15 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Arabs, balance of power, Levant, Maghreb, politics, Sahel, school 3 Comments »UPDATE: Please see this post for updated charts and observations on this subject.
Here is a graph of Arab coups by year and state. The frequency of coups in a given year and country is represented here, thus only years with coups and countries with coups are shown (the colors change according to country). An Excel graph, similar but more clear and pleasing will be posted shortly (as well will others showing different data). This data differs from the data from the previous coup posts in that it adjusts errors in counting coups (for instance in Yemen), and shows each coup, its year and its state while the previous charts represented coups only by month, state and decade. Errors will be corrected in later versions. More variables are still in the works. Corrections are welcome in the comments section.

More on Hanevy O. Dahah
Posted: 7 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Maghreb, Mauritania, Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz, Muslims, Recently in Mauritania, Sahel, Third World 7 Comments »A well-meaning Wall Street Journal op-ed calling for Hanevy Ould Dahah’s release, publish 1 February, appears to have played into the hands of Ould Abdel Aziz and company. The article was mistranslated (one can only conclude this was done deliberately) and distributed on the street and inside the courthouse as Ould Dahah was being tried and then sentenced to two years imprisonment on trumped-up charges. The thrust of the mistranslation is to the effect that Ould Dahah “left Islam” at age 18; the article states clearly that he in fact “broke with the Islamists” at age 18. Its intention is to portray the (former, he retired last week) editor of Taqadoumy as an apostate, a kafir and so on. A similar attempt was made when Ould Dahah went on a hunger strike at the beginning of the year; that effort was linked to “suicide” and therefore declared un-Islamic by clerics, at which point Ould Dahah gave up the strike. As one who has met Hanevy, there is no doubt that he is a Muslim, whatever his political views might be.
Who are the translators? The analysis by a University of Nouakchott English professor (drafted by Taqadoumy) has it that their translation bears little relation to the connotation, meaning or intention of the English text. RIM Media also put up a “disclaimer” regarding the potentially dangerous implications of the false translation. Taqadoumy has posted a full Arabic translation on its site (as well as the original English text).
The translators themselves are thought to be a set of public relations and communications wolves well introduced in official circles. Many think that this shows that the regime is increasingly receding into an increasingly thuggish and arbitrary style of rule. None of this should surprise any observer. In the writing circles there are suspicions about Who Done It. One cannot be certain as of yet. But two names especially float to the top among speculators. This should not be taken for accusation; it merely reflects suspicions relayed here by Mauritanians.
The ring leader is believed to be Abdellah Ould Hormatallah, was an ex-publicist under the Ould Sheikh Abdellahi government; one of his biggest projects was to construct a news website to promote the then-president. In time around the 2008 coup, it was used to promote Ould Abdel Aziz, though he had gone off to work for the head of parliament, Mohsen Ould Hadj as a PR secretary. He has published articles in al-Quds al-Arabi and appeared as a commentator on France24 after he 6 August coup (one can guess what his current political orientation is based on his argumentation there; those without Arabic can get a summary of the debate here, in French). His partners are also believed to include Kemal Ould Mohamedou (the little brother of Ould Abdel Aziz’s junta-era foreign minister, and his former partner in hip-hop shenanigans), whose “Generation Aziz” group put out the pamphlet “100 Reasons Why Mohamed Ould Abdelaziz Must be the Next President of Mauritania” during the 2009 election. These are men with deep ties to the regime and the Ould Abdel Aziz campaign.
Since then he has worked behind the scenes in a variety of posts for various junta and regime figures. He is especially close to the General and his Foreign Minister, Naha Mint Mouknass (with whom he is regularly seen around the capital likely in an advisory capacity). He occupies a similar position as the various Saudi journalists that drive the “Angry Arab” so mad. The idea is to take whatever opportunity possible to pain Ould Dahah as a non-Muslim, to sap public support and sympathy. But the major journalists associations and unions in Nouakchott have reiterated their support, as well as has the Committee to Project Journalists and others. So these efforts appear to have been dented by both common sense and the fact that the so-called “translation” of the WSJ piece attributes statements to Ould Dahah that simply do not appear in the original. These do not come down to semantic problems, but glaring, malicious word choices based on a political agenda, design to undermine free expression in Mauritania and that re-enforce the image of the General’s government as sitting somewhere in the proto-despotic phase of regime crystallization.
A New Decade: Let There Be Coups?
Posted: 3 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Arabs, history, politics, Third World 2 Comments »
Putschists of years gone by.
Since 1949, there has not been a decade in which there was not a coup in some Arab state. Where will the first coup of the 2010-2020 period be? Expect an updated set of spreadsheets on based (and expanding) on the data in the ones referenced in this post: “La-a la-a, ana ir-ra’is” this weekend. More variables added, new charts, etc.
A separate sheet not including Comoros — a major outlier in the data set (it makes up something like 14% of all Arab coups when included) — will probably be set up too. Definitions of what are and are not included as coups can be expected too. Ideas for variables are welcome in the comments section.
“General Motor”
Posted: 2 February, 2010 Filed under: Africa, Egypt, humor, Iran, Mauritania Leave a comment »An earlier post about the Mauritanian President’s visit to Iran wondered what kind of buses Iran would send to Mauritania; Azizibuses was one of the lines emailed to me. Nowadays, according to young people, President Ould Abdel Aziz has earned the name “General Motor” for his efforts at fixing the problem of transport in his country.
On a related note: Ould Abdel Aziz got into a little bit of a row with Egypt on his way back; having ordered his Communication Minister to boycott an Arab Satellite Communication Organization conference in Cairo, leading the Egyptians to deny his plane fly over rights. Ould Abdel Aziz did not want to take part in the meeting in case the Iranian Arabic channel al-Alem, were kicked out.


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